Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.473520 8.719632 10.063774 11.616031 13.353607 15.233090 17.414062
2025-04-13 5.921527 7.532852 9.387385 11.661150 14.354233 17.422369 21.161109
2025-04-20 5.005894 6.849768 9.089201 11.970618 15.538117 19.767232 25.113091
2025-04-27 4.295958 6.277430 8.801640 12.188207 16.541778 21.876165 28.824194
2025-05-04 3.659661 5.691766 8.398815 12.172648 17.190881 23.521981 31.986262
2025-05-11 2.974995 4.935834 7.670058 11.630968 17.075985 24.142560 33.828526
2025-05-18 2.528569 4.452554 7.249140 11.441418 17.374799 25.265526 36.313511
2025-05-25 2.137179 3.994527 6.807330 11.166240 17.509443 26.141584 38.469552
2025-06-01 1.841730 3.644625 6.482986 11.019290 17.790893 27.199849 40.877795
2025-06-08 1.560393 3.276938 6.089220 10.726015 17.825305 27.893686 42.785612
2025-06-15 1.394599 3.085127 5.951851 10.805298 18.396134 29.346389 45.775104
2025-06-22 1.223004 2.857762 5.731005 10.729307 18.716896 30.437707 48.273501
2025-06-29 1.103687 2.714418 5.640682 10.858583 19.360332 32.026838 51.545136
2025-07-06 0.997181 2.580620 5.552453 10.980159 19.989796 33.608688 54.844964
2025-07-13 0.931202 2.520468 5.589022 11.310161 20.958585 35.722645 58.975291
2025-07-20 0.857891 2.433724 5.567030 11.533540 21.758838 37.599698 62.798680
2025-07-27 0.765113 2.289188 5.420925 11.525320 22.172749 38.890108 65.772070
2025-08-03 0.630420 2.023302 5.010454 11.009636 21.709258 38.793317 66.636991
2025-08-10 0.546100 1.863276 4.793677 10.829412 21.796389 39.552703 68.813922
2025-08-17 0.465509 1.696575 4.544238 10.566576 21.721883 40.042866 70.577166
2025-08-24 0.404681 1.570260 4.366579 10.426181 21.849372 40.854374 72.851865
2025-08-31 0.341885 1.424055 4.127857 10.145696 21.708469 41.215342 74.416727
2025-09-07 0.309157 1.360383 4.069479 10.221580 22.211390 42.648055 77.711333